RUDO™ Weather Challenge · Season 1

Guess first. Then let real weather tell us.

Every day, kids and families around the world forecast one number: tomorrow's maximum temperature at Boston Logan airport. When the NWS daily climate report comes in, a public program measures the exact error. The error is the score. It is free, and it always will be for families.

Current round

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Latest result

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How it works

  1. Look

    Check the weather around Boston: forecasts, maps, yesterday's high. Any public source is fine, AI included.

  2. Guess

    Enter tomorrow's high in °C with one decimal, and say whether you used AI. Change it as often as you like before the cutoff.

  3. Seal

    You get a receipt with a sha256 fingerprint. Anyone can check later that your forecast was not changed.

  4. Learn

    The observed high arrives. See your exact error next to simple reference lines, and try again tomorrow.

One ruler, three boundaries

One ruler

Boston Logan

Everyone, everywhere, forecasts the same station and the same variable: the daily maximum temperature. Where you live does not change your score.

One deadline

18:00 EST the day before

That is 23:00 UTC. The server clock decides, and a forecast received exactly at the cutoff is late. We show the time in your zone too.

One truth source

NWS daily climate report

The first complete NWS climate report (CLI) for Boston after the day ends. Corrections within 7 days are applied; after that the result is final.

Season 1 theme

El Niño Learning Season 2026–27

Winter in Boston, seen through the lens of El Niño. Short lessons explain what moves a daily high and how a warm Pacific can tilt a whole season. Core rounds are S-01 (2026-11-21), S-02 (11-23) and S-03 (11-25), then every Saturday and Wednesday target day through 2027-02-28. Every other day is an open practice round.

Season 1 has no leaderboard and no percentiles. Each participant sees their own forecasts, errors, reference lines and coverage.

Season so far

Live counts from the database. Nothing here is rounded up or estimated.

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Ready for tomorrow?

A parent or guardian creates a family in under a minute. No email, no names, no birthdays.

Go to the family hub